Saturday, June 7, 2014

Climate Change Denial vs. Climate Change Reality



Yesterday I had a chance to talk with writer Christina Birchfield, who is a fellow National Writers Union member and a blogger at the Green Builder magazine website. Christina has written a number of posts about global warming, the most recent of which is "Changing Climate Deniers' Minds? In that post, she reviews Pew Research data and notes that Republicans and those Independents who "lean Republican" are much more likely to be global warming skeptics – this seems to be related to the fact that there has been a real downturn in the number of Republicans (and Republican-leaning Independents) who place a high priority on the environment compared to 20 years ago. Christina also referred to an article in Bloomberg View, which asserts, based on Gallup Poll data, that “Americans' views on climate change increasingly have more to do with politics than science.” “When I studied at the University of Chicago, one of the political science truths was that once people had formed an opinion it was unlikely to change,” Christina notes in the post. “They would distrust or disbelief the messenger who delivers facts that refuted their opinions.”  

Despite the existence of climate change deniers, Christina remains optimistic. Both in her blog and in our conversation, Christina focused on the importance of renewable sources of energy, particularly solar energy. She mentioned the Idaho-based Solar Roadways start-up (which she blogged about in an earlier post http://www.greenbuildermedia.com/news/solar-roadways-smart/intelligent-infrastructure) as having potential to make a difference. The Solar Roadways people want to pave driveways, roads and parking lots with hexagonal solar-cell paving. Christina  noted that the indiegogo campaign for Solar Roadways met and exceeded its fundraising goal and said that as of June 4 more than 44,000 people contributed nearly $2 million, which she found heartening.

But in spite of occasional good news, it's hard not to feel real concern about climate change. On the front page of today’s Daily Star there was an Associated Press story called “Global warming hits SW states hardest, as summer temps soar.” The AP analyzed federal temperature records and found that the average Arizona summer is now 2.4 degrees warmer than it was in 1984. This is the fourth fastest summertime increase in the contiguous 48 states, and the article goes on to say that Tucson’s average annual temperature rose 1.1 degrees in the past thirty years. Apparently, climate scientists used 1984 as a starting point for this analysis because it had an average temperature, and it was not “a cherry-picked year to skew a trend either way.” Tucson is a hot place, it’s getting hotter, and though climate change doesn’t always manifest itself in terms of warming trends, it’s certainly doing so here. This afternoon I went out and walked around the nearby desert for a few minutes and saw that even cacti are having a hard time of it.

Heat-stressed prickly pear cactus

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